Methodology
How New Fire Signal evaluates frontier-energy companies. Transparent by design.
Looking for a specific term? Open the Glossary
Informational platform — not investment advice.
New Fire Signal provides research intelligence, data aggregation, and emerging technology monitoring. It does not provide investment advice, securities recommendations, or financial advisory services.
Content is informational and educational only. Nothing on this site is investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. Structured public information about frontier-energy companies and technologies is presented as-is.
Patent information may be incomplete. Public claims are tracked but not endorsed. Validation status reflects available public evidence only. Always conduct your own due diligence.
New Fire Signal is operated by NFE Capital GP, LLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of New Fire Energy Inc., a Wyoming corporation. Securities offerings, when made, are made only by Private Placement Memorandum to qualified accredited investors and are not solicited via this site.
The Claimed / Observed / Verified framework
Every piece of evidence about a company is categorized into exactly one of three buckets, and these buckets are never blended on a single feed.
- Claimed — what the company says. Press releases, marketing copy, interviews where the company is the source. Recorded for completeness, never weighted as validation.
- Observed — what has been publicly shown. Demos, conference presentations, third-party visits. Independent of company narrative but not yet independently tested.
- Verified — what has independent support. Third-party tests, peer-reviewed papers, government grants, certifications. Must be third-party AND independent AND published to qualify. The check constraint on
verification_eventsenforces this at the database level.
Score dimensions
Six core dimensions, each on a 0–100 scale:
- Engineering — technical viability and signal density
- Validation — depth and independence of supporting evidence
- Commercial — readiness for market, deployment momentum
- Capital — funding status and runway signals
- Momentum — recent activity rate
- Narrative gap — current credibility-risk events (subtracted)
Three additional dimensions are computed from the above:
- Technical maturity — engineering × demonstrated artifacts
- Commercialization readiness — commercial × deployment evidence
- Institutional credibility — independent verifications and grant awards
Confidence-of-reality
A separate 0–100 score answering: how much should you trust this profile is real? Computed from source count, source quality, independent confirmation, recency, and consistency across sources. Active critical risks deduct from the score.
What scores do — and do not — mean
Scores are relative rankings on a defined methodology. They reflect the structured evidence the platform has indexed at a point in time.
Scores are not investment advice. They are not predictions of returns. They are not endorsements. A high score does not mean a company is a good investment; a low score does not mean a company is not. They are inputs for your own analysis.
Source rules
- Every patent record links to a source URL. We do not invent or paraphrase patents.
- Every verification event includes a source URL and a confidence score (0–100).
- Every research source includes a URL, a confidence score, and a verification status.
- Press-release claims about patents are recorded as
company_statementsources, not as patents.
Approval workflow
AI agents draft and propose; admins approve and publish. Nothing posted by an agent is public-facing until reviewed. Reports remain in published=false state until a human flips the publish flag.